Delta Air Lines (DAL.N) has offered a 34% pay increase to its pilots over three years in a new contract, according to a draft agreement seen by Reuters.

The pilots will get a raise of at least 18% raise on the date the contract is signed, another 5% after one year, 4% after two years and 4% after three years, it says.

If the deal is approved, it is widely expected to act as a benchmark for contract negotiations at rivals United Airlines (UAL.O) and American Airlines (AAL.O).

Delta pilots have been working without a new contract for nearly three years after their old contract became amendable in December 2019, fueling frustration.

They voted overwhelmingly in October voted to authorize a strike if negotiators could not reach an agreement on the new contract.

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Have you ever wondered why Donald Trump lies so much? Trump is one of the most prolific liars this world has ever seen. Not content to just lie about the important things, Donald Trump seemingly lies FOR NO REASON AT ALL. And he does that often.

There are books out that have tracked hundreds of thousands of lies he has reportedly told. It does seem the man can’t put his socks on without lying. Why? I am no psychologist, but I would like to point you toward an interesting condition. This condition is called Mythomania and is also known as Pseudologia Fantastica.

This is a condition that involves a person lying “with no obvious motivation.” In other words — they lie just to lie. The person doing this may create elaborate twists on their lies, making them dramatic and, in many cases, absolutely unbelievable. Some even believe their own lies.

It is said that these people simply cannot control their lying. They lie and they lie, and they lie and absolutely nothing can stop them. And they never are worried about the consequences.

Mythomania is classified in the DSM (Guide for classification of mental disorders) as a symptom of another disorder and not a singular disorder in and of itself. It is believed many who suffer from an antisocial personality disorder may suffer from Mythomania.

Some of the symptoms of Mythomania include self-deception, pathological lying, and tales of experiences that never happened and only exist in the liar’s imagination. While I cannot say if Trump suffers from Mythomania, like the disorder of Narcissism, he does seem to check many, if not most, of the boxes. It is a fascinating thing to ponder.

The post The myth of Donald Trump comes crashing down appeared first on Palmer Report.

A second Indiana judge on Friday blocked the state from enforcing its law banning most abortions after Jewish, Muslim and other non-Christian women challenged it in a lawsuit.

Marion County Superior Court Judge Heather Welch issued a preliminary injunction against the Republican-backed law, which prohibits abortions with limited exceptions for rape, incest, lethal fetal abnormalities or a serious health risk to the mother. The plaintiffs have argued that the measure infringes on religious freedom protected by another state law.

The law had already been on hold, as another judge in September blocked Indiana from enforcing it while Planned Parenthood and other healthcare providers challenge it in court.

Indiana became the first state to pass a new law banning abortion after the U.S. Supreme Court in June overturned its landmark 1973 Roe v. Wade ruling that had legalized the procedure nationwide. Other Republican-led states quickly began enforcing older bans.

Welch issued her injunction after a group called Hoosier Jews for Choice and five individual women challenged the abortion law under Indiana’s Religious Freedom Restoration Act in a case brought by the American Civil Liberties Union. The ACLU said the plaintiffs represented religions including Judaism and Islam as well as “independent spiritual belief systems.”

“The Court finds that S.E.A. 1 substantially burdens the religious exercise of the Plaintiffs,” Welch wrote, using the formal name of the law, in granting the plaintiffs’ motion for a preliminary injunction while the challenge to its legality proceeds.

“Although some religions believe that human life begins at conception, this is not an opinion shared by all religions or all religious people,” the ACLU said in a statement.

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In addition to doing her best to block student debt relief, Iowa Governor #CovidKim Reynolds reminded people she’s against all commonsense measures to combat COVID-19. She joined 20 other GQP Governors wanting the COVID-19 vaccination mandate for the armed forces ended.

She and the other GQP governors are claiming that the mandate is causing recruiting shortfalls along with causing thousands to be discharged because they refuse to get the shots. CovidKim had the nerve to say that the vaccine mandate interferes with Iowa’s ability to respond to natural disasters and interferes with the country’s defense. CovidKim justified her position with the President’s statements that the pandemic was over. (In all fairness, I think it was a mistake for the President to say that it was over because it gave the GQP an excuse to oppose the President’s COVID response).

Ever since George Washington mandated smallpox vaccinations, the US has mandated vaccinations for the military. John Bolton once said if mandatory vaccinations were, “good enough for George Washington, it’s good enough for me.” Ted Lieu admitted he didn’t much care for the anthrax vaccine but said he had been given a lawful order, so Lieu got vaccinated. The US has the flexibility for those who have medical reasons they can’t be vaccinated, retiring soon, or have sincere religious issues beyond, and those administering the vaccines know what they’re doing.

What CovidKim and the other governors fail to realize is not vaccinating can affect military readiness a lot more than the reasons they gave. A military doesn’t do much good if they’re too sick to operate. Iowa may be stuck with CovidKim for another four years, but we need to work now to get as many Democrats as possible elected next year or in 2024 to replace the Branch Trumpvidians who want to “own the libs.”

The post The is just embarrassing for Iowa Governor Kim Reynolds appeared first on Palmer Report.

Roger Parloff discussed the defense presented by members of the Oath Keepers against charges of seditious conspiracy, the difficulty of proving a seditious conspiracy case without an explicit plan expressed, and the evidence introduced at trial that adds to the complexity of the case. 

Parloff also shared his thoughts on the verdict in the first Oath Keepers trial. He discussed the convictions and acquittals in the case, speculated on how the jury made distinctions between the various conspiracy charges, and shared what surprised him about the verdict.  

Katherine Pompilio shared the Eleventh Circuit’s Dec. 1 ruling reversing U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon’s order appointing a special master to review privilege claims over documents seized at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence.

Daniel J. Hemel discussed whether or not the House Ways and Means Committee should, as a normative matter, release former President Donald Trump’s tax returns before Republicans take control of the House in January.

Robert Chesney and Steve Vladeck sat down to discuss the national security implications of the 2022 midterm elections, a recently released National Security Agency Inspector General report from 2016, the latest transfer from Guantanamo Bay, and more:

Quinta Jurecic and Scott R. Anderson sat down with Nikloas Gvosdev and Tatiana Serafin to discuss the week’s big national security news including: Chinese protests against Xi Jinping’s draconian zero-COVID policies, Jan. 6 staffers’ anger toward Rep. Liz Cheney for decisions to focus the committee’s final report on conduct related to former President Trump, and the Biden administration’s decision to ease sanctions on Venezuela:

Benjamin Wittes sat down with Sophia Yan, who recently left China, to discuss the current protests in China, what capacity the Chinese government has to shut them down, and whether these protests could just be the beginning:

Jordan Schneider sat down with Ling Li, lecturer at the University of Vienna, to discuss the origins and evolution of China’s zero-COVID policy, the different paths the Chinese Communist Party could take to crack down on the current protests, and what the protests reveal about modern China:

Schneider also discussed the recent and ongoing protests in China, what sparked the protests and where they’re headed, and what it all means for zero-COVID and the international situation:

Wittes also sat down with Stephan Haggard to discuss the events of recent weeks on the Korean peninsula, how it relates to past diplomacy between North Korea and the Trump administration, what message North Koreans are trying to send, and prospects for denuclearization:

Jocelyn Trainer considered the negative diplomatic effects of designating Russia a state sponsor of terrorism (SST), how to best identify and counter Russian motivations, and argued for the creation of a “state aggressor” designation as an alternative to the SST designation. 

Valentin Weber weighed the pros and cons of NATO members potentially expanding their current weapons deliveries to Ukraine and Georgia to include offensive cyber weapons.

Stephanie Pell discussed the role of Microsoft as a “reliable reporter” through its efforts in understanding and combating Russian cyber offensives targeting Ukraine. She highlighted the critical role played by the private sector in cyber defense and resilience as well as Microsoft’s perspective on defending Ukraine against cyber warfare.

Pell also sat down with former Cyber Command lawyer Kurt Sanger to discuss the application of international law on offensive cyber operations. They talked about Sanger’s work at Cyber Command and his opinions on the various legal issues surrounding the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine:

Hadley Baker shared the Defense Department’s Zero Trust Strategy detailing the department’s new approach to countering cyberattacks. The strategy illustrates the department’s new mindset of “never trust, always verify,” a departure from the previous perimeter defense policy. 

Yaya J. Fanusie discussed the geopolitical implications of mBridge, a blockchain technology pilot facilitating central bank digital currency transactions (CBDC). Fanusie also discussed the current U.S. framework for digital asset development and debates on whether the U.S. should create its own CBDC. 

David Morar and Bruna Santos assessed the Digital Services Act: a new piece of legislation recently passed in the European Union that regulates online platforms operating within the EU. Morar discussed the novelty of the DSA’s policy development, its unique approach to the concerns of various platforms, and the applicability of the legislation outside the EU. 

Stewart Baker sat down with Jim Dempsey, David Kris, and Maury Shenk to discuss the demonization of new technologies, the prosecution of Amesys and its executives in France for facilitating the torture of Libyan citizens, Elon Musk’s chances of withstanding the hostility of European and U.S. regulators, and more:

Anderson examined the historical use and interpretation of the 2002 Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) by the courts and executive branch, as well as the implications of its repeal, in the second of a two-part series on the history and interpretation of the AUMF. 

Wittes sat down with Anderson to discuss his recent two-part series on Lawfare about the history and interpretation of the 2002 Authorization for Use of Military Force. They spoke about the history of the AUMF, its surprising rebirth, and the potential dangers of its continued life:

Diego A. Zambrano and Ludmilla Martins da Silva discussed the Brazilian Supreme Court’s use of aggressive judicial action to rebuff authoritarianism, what prompted those aggressive actions, and the risk of future authoritarians taking advantage of extreme uses of judicial power for their own benefit. 

Tyler McBrien sat down with Neta Crawford, Montague Burton Chair in International Relations at the University of Oxford, to discuss the military’s carbon emissions, how war drives emissions and industrialization, and why climate activists may be skeptical about framing climate change as a national security issue:

David Priess sat down with Brian Michael Jenkins, a terrorism expert at the RAND Corporation, to chat about the long nature of pandemics, the history of resistance to public health measures, the relationship between plagues and political violence, and more:

And McBrien shared the debut Lawfare crossword puzzle, written by Justice Department national security lawyer Brad Wiegmann. Try your hand at the puzzle here.

And that was the week that was.

Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC.N) on Friday rolled out its new B-21 “Raider” jet, the first of a new fleet of long-range stealth nuclear bombers for the United States Air Force.

The B-21 was unveiled during a dramatic ceremony at Northrop’s Plant 42 in Palmdale, California, offering members of the public the first look at the new bomber.

The B-21, which carries a similar “flying wing” shape to its predecessor, the B-2, will be able to deliver both conventional and nuclear weapons around the world using long-range and mid-air refueling capabilities.

The aircraft were projected to cost approximately $550 million each in 2010 dollars, or about $750 million in today’s inflation-adjusted dollars.

The Air Force planned to buy at least 100 of the planes and begin to replace B-1 and B-2 bombers.

Northrop beat out a team comprised of Boeing Co (BA.N) and Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT.N) when it won the 2015 contract to make the bomber. Engine-maker Pratt & Whitney (RTX.N), Collins Aerospace, GKN Aerospace, BAE Systems (BAES.L) and Spirit Aerosystems (SPR.N) are among the more than 400 suppliers in 40 states.

Northrop is calling the plane a sixth generation aircraft given its ability to connect to other aircraft and easily integrate future weapons into its systems architecture.

The B-21 also features more durable, stealth-enabling low observable surface material that will require less maintenance and keep operations costs and downtime to a minimum, Doug Young, sector vice president and general manager at Northrop Grumman Aeronautics Systems, told Reuters in an interview.

The presentation provided the first video and photo images of the new bomber. Previously, only artist renderings have been published.

Six of the planes, which is to have its first flight in mid-2023, are in various stages of assembly. More than 8,000 people from Northrop Grumman, industry partners and the Air Force currently work on the program.

“This is how Russia does war,” explains Seva Koshel in the newest episode of the Sky New Ukraine War Diaries podcast.

Click on to subscribe to Ukraine War Diaries where ever you get your podcasts

Following weeks of missile attacks on their electricity community, Kyiv is now descending into a siege-like city, with inhabitants pressured to grow to be at any time additional resourceful to prevail over depleting energy and water materials.

“Hitting infrastructure, hitting hospitals, hitting civil structures, schools… it is in their army doctrine, so it is alright for them,” continues Seva, a armed forces volunteer who’s been documenting life in war-time Ukraine since the Russian invasion on 24 February.

“[And] we know from the messages from our Ministry of Defence that the Russians are getting ready a new massive attack to our infrastructure in future times.”

Image:

Armed service volunteer Seva Koshel pictured for the duration of a supply drop to a Ukrainian tank battalion in Bakhmut, eastern Ukraine

Study far more:
Blitz spirit in Kyiv as heat, mild and h2o materials are knocked out for days
Zelenskyy criticises Kyiv mayor Klitschko in unusual signal of discontent
Placing satellite image reveals extent of Ukraine’s energy shortage

Ukrainians have endured practically two months of Russian air attacks on their energy infrastructure. Officials estimate that extra than 50 percent the national ability community has been qualified.

But, with the passing of just about every winter season 7 days, temperatures are dropping lessen. And while Kyiv repelled the Russian advance in the early months of the war, the money is starting to really feel the entire affect of technique created the make the city less habitable in freezing problems.

Still yet again this week, a slew of missiles focused Kyiv.

“I did not have any electricity or lights for above 33 hrs,” points out resident Ilyas Verdiev. “So it was all about keeping my telephone alive and making an attempt to attain the net.

“As extensive as you never have any electricity, you can’t get any mobile world wide web connection, since the mobile stations lose energy as nicely.

“It was acquiring colder above the night time. I did not have any energy and the h2o was running truly sluggish.

Image:

Ilyas Verdiev, Ukraine War Diarist, pictured on 10 October

“The most important dilemma I confronted was that the freezer was melting. It is not a big offer. I can often use the exterior ambiance and get use of some chilly weather. I can set my matters exterior and they get frozen at any time.

“There is a recommendation we have to dig out, at some place, a hole so we can use it as a rest room outdoors the block.

“These are the factors that we are speaking about, how we going to dig it out and how we’re heading to use it. This is the 21st century below in a European funds. This is the wintertime we have to come through.”

From the creators of Sky News’ award-successful StoryCast, Ukraine War Diaries is a weekly podcast following individuals residing on Europe’s new frontline, and individuals who have escaped it.

Producer: Robert Mulhern

Digital promotion and extra producing: David Chipakupaku

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The post Ukraine War Diaries: Thermal underwear and toilet pits – Kyiv residents become ever more resourceful as missiles rain down | World News appeared first on Ukraine Intelligence.

(NewsNation) — There’s a general rule of thumb when it comes to homicide investigations: the longer a case goes without an arrest, the less likely it is to be solved.

This is often thought of as the “48-hour rule” or “The First 48,” as the popular A&E show is named. It’s based on the idea that the first two days are the most crucial in an investigation.

“After the first two days, competing resources, competing interests, perishable evidence, alibis — all of these things become increasingly problematic,” said Michael Arntfield, a criminologist and co-director of the Murder Accountability Project, a nonprofit that focuses on unsolved murders.

The 48-hour adage will come as no comfort to those in Moscow, Idaho, where nearly three weeks ago four University of Idaho students were found stabbed to death in an off-campus home.

Authorities have yet to identify a suspect or find a murder weapon in the case, but that doesn’t mean it’s gone cold.

Although data can be difficult to trace, multiple analyses have found that most homicide investigations don’t lead to an arrest in the first 48 hours.

A Washington Post report from 2018 examined 8,000 homicide arrests across 25 major U.S. cities and discovered that only 30% of cases had an arrest in the first two days. About two-thirds of arrests were made within one month after the incident.

But for cases that remained unsolved after one year, just 5% ultimately led to an arrest, The Post determined.

A separate 2021 analysis in the New York Times found that the amount of time it takes to clear a murder varies widely from city to city.

Just two of the 13 police agencies studied cleared more than half of their murder cases within the first 48 hours, the Times found. At the higher end, police in Louisville, Kentucky, solved 62% of homicides in the first 48 hours, whereas authorities in St. Louis, Baltimore and Chicago cleared murder cases in the first two days less than 25% of the time.

Much of that discrepancy can be explained by the sheer number of homicides and thus the amount of resources available for each case.

“The more resources, the more detectives that are available to work a case — be it a murder or a non-fatal shooting — the more likely you are to find that really important evidence,” said Jeff Asher, the co-founder of AH Datalytics who authored the New York Times report.

With local, state and federal law enforcement investigating, the importance of significant resources bodes well for a case like the University of Idaho killings.

There are other factors working in law enforcement’s favor: the size of the town and the manner of the killings.

In a small community like Moscow, Arntfield says the pool of potential suspects is more stable than a large urban area.

And both experts agreed stabbings, as opposed to gun-related homicides, are more likely to result in DNA evidence — either on a murder weapon or left by the perpetrator at the scene — that investigators can use to identify a suspect.

But cases near college campuses also present unique challenges: social circles are vast and everchanging, students’ schedules tend to be more irregular than someone working a 9-5 job and living situations can be fluid.

“You’ve got four different people who were socially active, engaging with dozens, if not hundreds of people virtually,” said Arntfield. “Their routine becomes very difficult for police to nail down.”

Arntfield said he suspects there is physical evidence at the scene but that the offender may not be in the DNA databank, which would mean investigators have nothing to compare it to. He said that’s more common than many people realize.

On Wednesday, hundreds of community members gathered for a vigil to honor the victims: Ethan Chapin, 20; Madison Mogen, 21; Xana Kernodle, 20; and Kaylee Goncalves, 21.

At the vigil, Steve Goncalves, Kaylee’s father, disclosed that his daughter and Mogen were killed together in the same bed. He said Kaylee and Madison were lifelong best friends who were together until the end.

SPRINGFIELD, Ill. (AP) — Democrats who control the Illinois General Assembly approved follow-up clarifications of their watershed criminal justice overhaul Thursday, appeasing critics by adding numerous offenses to a list of crimes that qualify a defendant to remain jailed while awaiting trial.

Senate action followed by the House came on the final day of the Legislature’s fall session and exactly one month before the Jan. 1 effective date of the so-called SAFE-T Act. The act notably changes one fundamental tenet of state jurisprudence by eliminating the posting of a cash bond — a practice long used to ensure the accused appears at trial, but which critics say penalizes the poor.

The goal of the proposal, which still needs the signature of a supportive Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker, is to detain dangerous people while they await trial while not locking up those who pose no threat but sit in jail simply because they can’t afford bail, according to proponents.

In the Senate, sponsoring Sen. Robert Peters, a Chicago Democrat, recalled that Atticus Finch, the defense attorney in the novel “To Kill a Mockingbird,” said that courage is knowing “you’re licked before you begin … but you see it through.”

“We’re seeing it through no matter what,” Peters said. “Illinois on Jan. 1, 2023, will make history — civil rights history.”

Democrats easily put up the 3/5ths majority vote required by the state Constitution to make the plan effective immediately while Republicans could only mock them for having to return repeatedly to make corrections or clarifications.

Emerging after the Minneapolis police beating death of George Floyd in May 2020, the SAFE-T Act sets rigorous new training standards for law enforcement, spells out rules for police use of force in immobilizing troublesome suspects, requires body cameras on all police by 2025 and more.

Much of Thursday’s focus was on sweeping cash bail out the door, following a handful of states that prohibit or restrict it, including California, New Jersey, Nebraska, Indiana and New York.

“We are here because a system wherein somebody’s detention pretrial is determined not based on whether they are a threat to the community, but whether or not they have enough cash to bail out of jail is one that has been deemed manifestly unjust,” said Rep. Jennifer Gong-Gershowitz, a Democrat from the Chicago suburb of Glenview.

But while Republicans agreed that adding crimes to what the law calls the “detention net” greatly improved matters, they remain worried about the risks of potentially releasing dangerous criminals. They also expressed concerns about the short timeline for judges and prosecutors to prepare for the changes, and what they see as the flight into retirement of law enforcement officers over objectionable parts of the act.

Sen. Steve McClure, a Springfield Republican and former prosecutor, acknowledged the improvements made by Peters and Democratic co-sponsors Sen. Elgie Sims of Chicago and Scott Bennett of Champaign. Among the changes, the clarifying legislation expands the detention net to include forcible felonies and those not eligible for probation, along with those accused of hate crimes and other serious offenses.

But like much of the debate since the SAFE-T Act was approved in the wee-hours finish to a lame-duck session in January 2021, Thursday’s debate was largely over semantics — for instance, burglary.

Republicans said burglary should be included in the detention net, Democrats claimed it already is. During floor debate, Peters pointed out the page and line number, which includes “burglary where there is use of force against another person,” a redefinition of burglary, noted McClure.

“That’s robbery,” McClure replied. “If you go into somebody’s unattached garage, or a business or into somebody’s car, those are all regular burglaries where you’re not threatening the use of force on somebody else.”

Those suspected of such burglaries, when set free, have little reason not to commit another such offense, he said.

Republicans pounced on the repeated changes to the law despite Democrats’ claims that it was solid. Peters’ legislation marks the third so-called “trailer bill” designed to clean up misunderstandings in the past two years.

In the House, Rep. Deanne Mazzochi, a Republican from the Chicago suburb of Elmhurst, took a shot at Chicago Democratic Rep. Justin Slaughter, who during debate in April on the plan he sponsored, complained of “the stench of racism coming from that side of the aisle,” identifying Republicans.

“We did object to taking bad utopian legislation that historically has never worked and saying that somehow our practical, common-sense objections to legislative language that we knew was going to create problems … were based on racism was offensive,” Mazzochi said.

Another change sets up a timeline after New Year’s so that those incarcerated this month may request hearings to be eligible for the new process and perhaps be released. Priority is to be given to low-level nonviolent offenders.

The SAFE-T Act legislation is HB1095.