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U.S. arrests of Cuban, Haitian, Nicaraguan and Venezuelan migrants plummet under new restrictions 

2023-01-25T21:21:43Z

Asylum-seeking migrants cross the Rio Bravo river, the border between the United States and Mexico, to request asylum in El Paso, Texas, U.S., as seen from Ciudad Juarez, Mexico January 2, 2023. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez/File Photo

The number of migrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua and Venezuela caught crossing the U.S.-Mexico border dropped 97% from December to January following new restrictions by U.S. President Joe Biden that expel them back to Mexico.

U.S. authorities encountered an average of just 115 migrants from those countries over a weeklong period ending on Jan. 24, down from an average 3,367 on Dec. 11, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) said on Wednesday.

The department attributed the decrease to the restrictions and new legal pathways opened for migrants with U.S. sponsors who enter by air.

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Factbox: The U.S. Treasury“s tools to avoid breaching debt limit

2023-01-25T20:49:58Z

As a battle between Republicans and Democrats over raising the federal debt ceiling unfolds, the U.S. Treasury has begun using extraordinary cash management measures to keep the U.S. government from breaching the $31.4 trillion borrowing limit.

The measures will allow the Treasury to claw back more than $500 billion in borrowing capacity, but it’s unclear how long that will last beyond early June as tax revenues ease and outlays for debt service, healthcare and Social Security grow.

Here’s a rundown of the Treasury’s tools to keep borrowing under the limit.

On Jan 24, the Treasury suspended daily reinvestments in a federal employee retirement fund known as the G Fund, which had a balance of $294 billion as of Dec. 31. Normally the money market-like fund reinvests its entire balance daily into special-issue Treasury securities that count against the debt limit, but the move allows the government to issue more normal Treasury bills, notes and bonds instead.

The fund must be made whole, including lost interest, when the debt ceiling is raised or suspended, protecting federal employees.

The Treasury on Jan. 19 suspended investments in the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund and the Postal Service Retiree Health Benefit Fund — except for amounts needed to pay benefits.

The suspensions allow Treasury to reclaim about $8.3 billion in borrowing capacity per month, or a total of $41.5 billion for the five-month “debt issuance suspension period” declared by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen though June 5 — a period that could be extended.

On June 30, the Treasury can regain another $143 billion in borrowing capacity when $131 billion in investments in the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund matures. A $12 billion interest payment to the fund also is due on that date. If Yellen extends the suspension period past June 30, the Treasury can suspend these investments and reclaim borrowing capacity in a one-time action that must be reversed once the borrowing limit is raised.

The Treasury could dip into this seldom-used $210 billion fund and suspend daily reinvestment of the dollar balance — currently about $17 billion — to free up borrowing headroom. Created during the Great Depression of the 1930s to stabilize dollar exchange rates, the fund was most recently used during the COVID-19 pandemic to backstop Federal Reserve emergency lending programs for businesses. The funds would need to be restored once the debt impasse ends, but not lost interest.

The Treasury can suspend sales of State and Local Government Series securities — known as “slugs” — which are special low-interest Treasury securities offered to state and local governments to temporarily invest proceeds from municipal bond sales. Slugs issues, which count against the debt limit, have recently averaged $6 billion per month, but monthly volumes vary. At that rate, a five-month suspension could conserve $30 billion in borrowing headroom.

These items were the only ones that the Treasury identified in a description of extraordinary measures, but the department also has employed and considered other tactics in the past:

The Treasury could cut issuance of longer-term government debt and rely more heavily on short-term cash management bills to gain more day-to-day control over debt outstanding. Cash management bills are typically issued for days instead of normal Treasury bill maturities of four weeks to one year. But this is unlikely to buy much time and officials have traditionally been wary of making major shifts in the Treasury’s debt issuance calendar, which could upset markets.

Treasury secretaries in the past have halted sales of U.S. savings bonds to the public during debt limit impasses, but it would not free up borrowing authority and would only prevent small amounts of new debt from being issued. Savings bond sales increased the federal debt by just $5.7 billion since the start of the 2023 fiscal year last October.

The Federal Financing Bank can issue up to $15 billion in debt on behalf of other government agencies that is not subject to the debt limit. So the Treasury could exchange FFB debt for other debt to reduce the total amount subject to the limit. However, the measure would also create only a small amount of borrowing headroom. According to the bank’s fiscal 2022 annual report, $4.8 billion worth of this capacity had already been utilized.

The Treasury could consider sales of U.S. gold or other holdings to pay bills, but department officials in the past have argued that this is unworkable, creating the specter of fire sales or destabilizing markets by reducing U.S. reserve assets.

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The American flag flies over the U.S. Treasury building in Washington, U.S., January 20, 2023.  REUTERS/Jim Bourg

A bronze seal for the Department of the Treasury is shown at the U.S. Treasury building in Washington, U.S., January 20, 2023.  REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File Photo
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Colombian cartel leader Otoniel pleads guilty to U.S. drugs charges

2023-01-25T20:42:40Z

The leader of a prominent Colombian criminal group pleaded guilty on Wednesday to U.S. drug trafficking charges, court records showed.

Dairo Antonio Usuga David, better known as Otoniel, admitted in Brooklyn federal court to one count of running a continuing criminal enterprise, as well as two counts of drug distribution stemming from federal indictments in Manhattan and Miami that were transferred to Brooklyn.

Usuga, 51, had been arrested by Colombian armed forces in October 2021 near the South American country’s border with Panama on U.S. charges of smuggling “outrageous” amounts of cocaine to the United States while leading the Clan del Golfo cartel.

“With today’s guilty plea, the bloody reign of the most violent and significant Colombian narcotics trafficker since Pablo Escobar is over,” Breon Peace, the top federal prosecutor in Brooklyn, said in a statement.

Usuga faces a mandatory minimum prison term of 20 years. Prosecutors agreed when seeking his extradition from Colombia not to seek a life sentence, court papers show.

“Mr. Usuga David pleaded guilty because he wants to accept responsibility as quickly as possible for his crimes,” his lawyer Alexei Schacht said in an email. “He hopes that his plea and prior calls for peace may help to make Colombia a more peaceful place.”

U.S. District Judge Dora Irizarry, who oversees the case, has not yet set a sentencing date. Usuga has been detained in Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since May.

Extradition to the United States is among Bogota’s main weapons to fight drug trafficking.

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Suspect in Half Moon Bay shooting rampage charged with murder in California

2023-01-25T20:51:08Z

Half Moon Bay resident Elisabeth Olander, 68, places flowers at a memorial for shooting victims at Mac Dutra Park in Half Moon Bay, California, U.S., January 25, 2023. REUTERS/Fred Greaves

A California farm worker was charged on Wednesday with seven counts of murder in the shooting spree that killed seven people, some of them his co-workers, in the state’s second deadly gun rampage in recent days.

Chunli Zhao, 66, the lone suspect in Monday’s massacre at two mushroom farms in the seaside town of Half Moon Bay near San Francisco, was expected to be formally presented with the charges later in the day at the San Mateo County Superior Court in nearby Redwood City.

Also on Wednesday, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, a California native, planned to travel to the Los Angeles suburb of Monterey Park, site of the first of the recent deadly rampages. She was expected to meet with some families of the 11 people who were fatally shot on Saturday night by a gunman who later took his own life.

Coming in quick succession, the two shooting sprees left California reeling from one of the bloodiest spates of mass gun violence in decades in a state with some of the strictest firearm laws in the country.

Zhao was taken into custody on Monday evening outside a sheriff’s station, where police said he had driven shortly after the attack on farm workers.

A criminal complaint filed on Wednesday formally charged him with seven counts of premeditated murder and a single count of attempted murder, alleging special circumstances that would enhance the sentences he faces if convicted.


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Analysis: Wall Street heavyweights warn of pain ahead despite market’s recent reprieve

2023-01-25T20:41:56Z

A trader works on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., May 18, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

Some of Wall Street’s biggest names are throwing cold water on expectations that the U.S. economy will scrape through 2023 without a recession, even as hopes of easing inflation and resilient growth propel stocks higher.

Banks and asset managers that have reiterated recession calls include BlackRock, Wells Fargo and Neuberger Berman, with many warning the Federal Reserve is unlikely to force inflation lower without hurting economic growth.

The warnings contrast with signs of optimism in markets. The S&P 500 has jumped more than 4% so far in 2023, fueled in part by bets that inflation will continue to slow, allowing the Fed to soon pull back from the rate increases that shook markets last year. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is up more than 7%.

“Money is dying to get back into this market but we still think you get an economic slowdown and that earnings expectations are still too high,” said Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

Correctly gauging the economy is crucial for investors. Stocks tend to perform poorly in economic downturns, with the S&P 500 falling an average of 29% during recessions since World War Two, according to Truist Advisory Services.

While recessions are called in hindsight, investors have said that still-robust job growth makes it unlikely that one has already started.

Many strategists are focused on the Fed, pointing to years of market history that suggests the central bank’s rapid rate hikes will eventually force unemployment higher and tip the economy into a recession.

The Fed last year raised its benchmark rate to between 4.25% and 4.50% from zero and is widely expected to increase it by another 25 basis points at the conclusion of its Feb. 1 meeting.

Policymakers have projected their key policy rate would top out at between 5.00% and 5.25% this year. Market pricing indicates investors are taking a more dovish view, with the rate peaking below 5% around mid-June before falling in the second half of the year.

The latter outlook is not shared by BoFA’s strategists, who recommended positions that would benefit from a “grind lower” in U.S. equities, noting that Fed “cutting cycles in history have almost exclusively been associated with either a recession … or a financial accident,” they said.

Charlie McElligott, managing director of cross-asset strategy of Nomura Securities, believes the current rise in stocks is partially driven by under-positioned investors fearful of missing a longer-term shift to the upside, a dynamic that fueled several rallies last year.

Those rebounds inevitably crumbled, leaving the S&P 500 with a 19.4% annual loss, its worst since 2008. The most recent rally has lifted the S&P 500 more than 11% from its October lows.

“You are now getting the disinflationary impulse that the Fed has been seeking and it’s moving ahead of schedule,” he said. “Now the challenge is that people are under-positioned and are … absolutely being forced into a painful trade because the Fed hasn’t won the fight yet.”

The current stock rally “hints at how markets will likely react once inflation eases and rate hikes pause,” wrote analysts at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, earlier this week. “Before this outlook becomes reality, we see (developed market) stocks falling when recessions we expect manifest.”

Neuberger Berman sees the S&P 500 dropping to as low as 3,000 this year – a decline of nearly 25% from its current level – as rebounding inflation forces the Fed to become more aggressive.

“You need that kind of decline in stock prices to neutralize the wealth effect that is the source of inflation,” said Raheel Siddiqui, a senior research analyst in the firm’s global equity research division.

Of course, plenty of investors are taking banks’ forecasts with a grain of salt.

Burns McKinney, a portfolio manager at NFJ Investment Group, noted that most banks failed to predict the inflationary surge that forced the Fed to ratchet up rates. Strategists polled by Reuters at the end of 2021 saw the S&P 500 gaining a median of 7.5% last year.

McKinney expects any recession to be a shallow one, and is moving into industrial stocks and technology firms that are poised to benefit from slowing inflation.

“Stocks aren’t terribly cheap and they are not terribly expensive either,” he said. “There’s a lot of ways to describe Goldilocks but the market is priced just about right.”


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How Harmeet Dhillon Turned the Race for RNC Chair Into a Real Fight

Harmeet Dhillon was inside Kari Lake’s “war room” in Scottsdale, Ariz., when her cell phone rang. On the other end of the line was Ronna McDaniel, the chairwoman of the Republican National Committee. It was a few days after the midterm elections in which Republicans significantly underperformed expectations. Votes were still being tallied in Arizona, where Dhillon was working as an attorney for Lake, the GOP candidate for governor who would eventually lose by 17,000 votes but refuse to concede.

Dhillon stepped outside the conference room to escape the cacophony of campaign aides who were working the phones and crunching numbers.

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McDaniel told Dhillon that she was “tired” after six years of leading the GOP, according to Dhillon. (McDaniel dismissed this part of Dhillon’s recollection as a “false aside from me being tired of nonstop travel.”) “It’s been rough,” she told her. “Yeah, the election was pretty rough,” Dhillon said, sympathetically.

McDaniel went on to say she didn’t want to run again for the leadership post but didn’t think there was anyone else who could do the job, according to Dhillon. McDaniel wanted Dhillon’s advice, which seemed to Dhillon like a roundabout way of seeking her support for another term. Dhillon, an RNC member from California, asked to table the conversation until after the Georgia Senate runoff. “I’m not prepared to commit to anybody,” Dhillon told her. “I think it’s been a disappointing election year. And it’s been disappointing for the last two cycles, too.”

A week later, McDaniel announced she was running for re-election, saying she had nearly 100 of the 168 RNC committee members pledging to back her. Dhillon was flabbergasted. Why would so many Republicans support a leader who had presided over so many losses?

She soon began to take calls with fellow RNC members who wanted a change. Some urged Dhillon to run. They wanted her to run in 2020, too, around the time when she was a regular on Fox News defending Donald Trump’s election challenges based on unsubstantiated claims of fraud. So she began to reach out to other friends and colleagues in the conservative movement for their thoughts. One by one, she says, they encouraged her to mount a bid. On Dec. 5, the night before the Georgia runoff—which Herschel Walker, the Republican candidate, would lose by nearly 100,000 votes—she went on Tucker Carlson’s show to announce her candidacy. “Republicans are tired of losing,” she said. “We need to radically reshape our leadership to win.”

Dhillon, it turns out, was pushing on an open door.

Since Dhillon jumped into the race, Republican leaders have been privately acknowledging that she has a shot, even if McDaniel—a consummate GOP insider who is the niece of Utah Senator Mitt Romney—remains the favorite. Amid widespread internal turmoil over the party’s direction and the role Trump should play in it, at least five state Republican parties, including Arizona and Texas, have passed resolutions of no confidence in McDaniel. And a handful of others, such as Washington, Nebraska, Tennessee, and Wyoming, have endorsed Dhillon. So, too, have a coterie of GOP members of Congress and right-wing media personalities. Dhillon, 54, is “respected by the people who don’t support Trump and respected by the people who do support Trump,” says an RNC source who asked for anonymity to discuss the hotly contested race.

On one end of the spectrum are influencers like Charlie Kirk, the pro-Trump firebrand who founded the conservative advocacy group Turning Point USA. He says he likes McDaniel personally but thinks it’s time for a new GOP leader. “I’m a huge college football fan,” Kirk tells TIME. “I think that there’s something rather commonsensical about what happens in college football: If you don’t win, you get fired. And I think that’s the way that we should judge the RNC. No one’s entitled to be chair of the RNC.” Several of his comrades who are committee members, like Sigal Chattah of Nevada and Kelli Ward and Tyler Bowyer of Arizona, who’s Turning Point’s chief operating officer, are backing Dhillon.

On the other end are mainstay figures like Bill Palatucci, a longtime RNC committee member from New Jersey who’s a close ally of Chris Christie and a Trump skeptic. He recently came out in support of Dhillon. “I’ve been really impressed with Harmeet’s campaign and her ability to flip members away from Ronna,” he tells TIME. He’s joined by RNC members like Robin Armstrong of Texas, Morton Blackwell of Virginia, and Oscar Brock of Tennessee, another Trump dissenter.

The race is unfolding as Trump vies to be the party’s presidential nominee in 2024 and remain at the center of the GOP’s orbit for years to come. Both candidates have ties to the ex-President. Dhillon has been a Trump attorney on two cases and a prominent supporter of his in the last two elections. Yet Trump handpicked McDaniel to run the RNC in 2016. She also participated in a phone call in which Trump and lawyer John Eastman asked the RNC to help recruit phony electors ahead of Jan. 6, 2021.

Donald Trump listens as attorney Harmeet Dhillon addresses his social media summit
Carlos Barria—ReutersPresident Donald Trump listens as attorney Harmeet Dhillon addresses his social media summit with prominent conservative social media figures in the East Room of the White House in Washington, D.C., on July 11, 2019.

Leading up to the RNC’s winter meeting starting on Wednesday, which will culminate with members selecting the next chair by secret ballot on Friday, Dhillon has made a play to court RNC committee members of all ideological stripes. She bills herself as the person “most reliably likely to honor a pledge of neutrality” as the party’s voters decide whether Trump should again be their nominee.

“I would not have been installed by any particular President, for example,” Dhillon says. “That’s an important difference.”

 

Harmeet Dhillon immigrated to the United States with her parents from India when she was two years old. Her father was a doctor who no longer wanted to live under a “Soviet-client state,” as Dhillon puts it.

After finishing his medical training at the Albert Einstein College of Medicine in the Bronx, Dhillon’s father settled the family in rural North Carolina. Once her parents became U.S. citizens, they registered as Republicans and quickly became politically active. They held fundraisers in their home for Senator Jesse Helms and other GOP candidates, exposing a young Dhillon to conservative politics at an early age. She recalls picking a fight over the 1976 election in the lunch line with another student whose parents supported Jimmy Carter (Dhillon’s supported Gerald Ford) and then getting spanked by a teacher.

The family’s conservatism was tied to their Sikh faith, says Dhillon, whose parents believed that Republicans shared their social values and were more likely to protect religious freedoms. They sent Dhillon to a public boarding school, the North Carolina School of Science and Mathematics, where she became enamored with Russian literature, finding particular resonance in the works of Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn, a Soviet dissident and critic of communism.

She graduated from high school at the age of 16 and enrolled at Dartmouth College, where she became the editor-in-chief of the school’s conservative newspaper, The Dartmouth Review. (Her predecessors in that role included Dinesh D’Souza and Laura Ingraham.) Her first job after graduating was at the influential conservative think tank the Heritage Foundation. “We were in the years following the Reagan Revolution,” she says, “a very heady time for conservative ideas and politics, and I got to meet some of the leading figures in the movement.”

During that time, Dhillon wrote op-eds in The Washington Post and The Wall Street Journal before she was accepted into the University of Virginia School of Law. (After leaving the Heritage Foundation, Tucker Carlson replaced her and took over her desk.) At UVA, she became president of the nation’s largest chapter of the conservative Federalist Society, which was relatively new at the time, and was an editor of the Virginia Law Review. After clerking for a federal judge, she worked in New York and London before eventually joining a law firm in San Francisco.

Her career path veered after September 11, 2001, which she called a “watershed moment” for her. Dhillon recoiled when Congress passed the Patriot Act, a law that gave the government substantial new powers in the name of fighting terrorism; she thought that Americans’ civil liberties were being trampled upon. Particularly jarring to her was how Sikh Americans were increasingly finding themselves the targets of hate crimes and racial and religious profiling. Studies showed they were regularly subjected to secondary screenings at airports across the country. That galvanized the Reaganite conservative to become a board member of the Northern California chapter of the left-leaning American Civil Liberties Union. “It wasn’t a political issue at all,” she says. “It was a civil rights issue.” The non-profit organization, she adds, was “drawing attention to both attacks and racial profiling against Sikhs and, more importantly, the Patriot Act.”

She says she also began representing Sikhs pro-bono from her corporate law firm, but it wasn’t popular with her employer, and she was constrained in how many of those cases she could take on in a big law setting.

She soon broke out on her own, founding the Dhillon Law Firm in 2006, based out of San Francisco, which mainly represents conservative clients. Around that time, she got back involved in politics, joining the board of the San Francisco GOP, and eventually becoming vice chair of the California GOP. She was elected to the Republican National Committee in 2016, and initially supported Ted Cruz for President. “The day that Ted Cruz dropped out of the presidential race, I switched my name over to the Trump slate and they took me,” she says. Later that summer, Dhillon delivered an opening prayer for the second day of the convention.

Dhillon became a Trump supporter, co-chairing or joining a slew of pro-Trump organizations, including Women for Trump, Sikhs for Trump, and Lawyers for Trump. During the Trump years, she also founded a conservative non-profit, the Center for American Liberties, and became chair of the Republican National Lawyers Association. After the 2020 election, she defended Trump’s legal efforts in the press, telling Fox Business the day after the election: “We’re waiting for the United States Supreme Court—of which the President has nominated three justices—to step in and do something.” The high court later rejected hearing Trump’s election challenge cases.

Dhillon’s profile grew as a frequent guest in right-wing media, but she reached new levels of prominence during the pandemic, when she waged a litigious battle against Covid restrictions.

“I probably filed the most lawsuits of any lawyer in America to challenge government overreach on COVID restrictions,” she says. Three of those cases reached the Supreme Court. Two of the cases challenged California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s executive orders limiting attendance at places of worship, and another sued the state over restricting the size of gatherings for at-home religious exercises.

Dhillon later represented Trump as an attorney in two cases—one involving the pornographic film actress Stormy Daniels, who filed a lawsuit against the former President in California, and another against the Jan. 6 Committee’s subpoena for Trump to testify about his role in the Capitol attack. Daniels lost her suit and was ordered to pay Trump $300,000 in legal fees. Trump’s subpoena was eventually withdrawn after the panel disbanded.

Dhillon’s entry into the RNC race came just after she was Lake’s lawyer for election week operations—a moment that put her back in the national spotlight before making her decision to take a shot at leading the entire Republican Party.

 

 

Dhillon’s bid for RNC chair has set up an intense battle between her and McDaniel, in the first contested RNC chair election in 12 years. (MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell, an ardent Trump supporter and prolific spreader of baseless voter fraud claims, is running a campaign as well). The RNC is mostly responsible for messaging and branding, fundraising, and commissioning polls and voter surveys. It has only one reason to exist: to help Republicans win elections.

According to Palatucci, the RNC committee member, there are two major camps inside the RNC. One group thinks the GOP’s disastrous results over the last two elections are Trump’s fault. The other puts some blame on McDaniel.

Dhillon’s campaign is anchored on winning over that second camp while peeling off members of the first. Her bid has focused on three main proposals.

The first is to revamp the RNC’s elections operations. She wants to build an infrastructure to compete with Democrats on chasing ballots during early voting, particularly with vote by mail, an area where Republicans have fallen behind since 2020, when Trump demonized mail ballots as rife with fraud. And she wants to create a legal unit inside the organization to engage more aggressively in what she calls “lawfare”—targeted lawsuits on everything from redistricting to voting laws. The second is “raising and spending our money efficiently and responsibly,” she says, which includes regular audits of RNC vendors and cutting “luxury spending” to allocate more funding toward winning elections. The third is to transform the RNC’s messaging. Her pitch to committee members is that she can orchestrate “clear and persuasive communications,” and implement tactics the party hasn’t seized on, such as “recruiting social media influencers to attract the youth vote.” She also says she wants to decentralize the RNC out of Washington, D.C., establishing a handful of regional headquarters in battleground states throughout the country.

Those ideas have endeared her to some of the nation’s most influential right-wing voices, who especially like the combination of her conservative bona fides and legal background. “I think that Marc Elias is running circles around us,” Kirk tells TIME, referring to the prominent Democratic election lawyer. “I think that we need somebody who understands the legal system and is able to position the RNC to be successful in those kinds of arenas.”

And while Dhillon has long been a critic of mail-in balloting—she once called for eliminating vote by mail entirely—she now wants the Republican Party to take advantage of the system to reach voters where it’s available. “If it’s the law, it’s stupid not to do it, in my opinion,” she says.

McDaniel has countered Dhillon’s pledges by arguing the RNC already does the things she’s calling for. “I am the most litigious RNC Chair in our Party’s history,” she tells TIME. “Just last cycle, we filed over 80 lawsuits to protect the integrity of our ballots.” She also says the RNC has built field operations in every state and territory, which conduct outreach to Republican absentee voters, and has created community centers under her tenure designed to reach GOP voters of color.

Republican National Committee Chairman Ronna McDaniel speaks at a rally
Allen J. Schaben—Los Angeles Times/Getty ImagesRepublican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel speaks at a rally ahead of the November elections in Newport Beach, Calif., on Sept. 26, 2022.

The primary reason for the party’s losses in 2022, she emphasized, was the quality of the candidates and Republican infighting. “Our party needs to address ticket splitting, which is why I’ve formed the Post-Election Analysis Committee to address why some voters chose one Republican on the ballot, and not the other,” McDaniel says.

One RNC committee member said that Dhillon’s critiques of the party’s leadership can be alienating to some. “Harmeet brings up lots of good, valid concerns about the direction of the RNC,” says the member, who requested anonymity. “But I think the message and tactics have been too harsh. And some of the people around her are very harsh, very divisive.”

“You know what’s divisive?” Dhillon told me in response. “Losing elections repeatedly and asking to be reelected.” Still, she addressed those concerns in an email she sent to all of the committee members on Monday, making the case that they needed to take a leap into the unknown if they want to win elections again. “Making a change to RNC leadership requires members to get out of their comfort zones,” she wrote.

Dhillon and her allies acknowledge that McDaniel is not the sole reason for the red wave that never materialized, but they argue that she doesn’t deserve a fourth term after three disappointing election cycles. The lawsuits and the field operation mean little, they say, if Republicans aren’t winning. “That’s activity, not results,” Kirk says. “We judge you based on whether or not we get more points than the bad guys. That’s it.”

 

The conventional Washington wisdom suggests that McDaniel, as the incumbent, is in the driver’s seat. But nothing is set in stone. “I think Ronna has been guilty of the D.C. trap of inevitability,” says Reed Galen, a former Republican operative and co-founder of the Never Trump group the Lincoln Project. “‘I’ve been doing this, I’m going to keep doing it. No one can get in my way.’”

There are other signs of McDaniel’s vulnerability. Some of her allies have waged a whisper campaign raising concerns about Dhillon’s Sikh faith. McDaniel condemned the attacks, citing her own minority faith as a Mormon, but Dhillon countered that she didn’t go far enough because she didn’t remove one of those allies as chair of the RNC’s Faith Advisory Board. “So apparently, it’s okay,” she says.

RNC veteran Palatucci argues that the election’s secret ballot makes the situation precarious for McDaniel: “The members of the RNC are very experienced pols, in large part, and they are very adept at looking you in the eye and saying, ‘I love you,’ and then turning around the secret ballot and slitting your throat.”

It’s in that spirit that Dhillon insists she can pull off the upset. In recent days, she sent out a 90-day transition plan, obtained by TIME, that called for creating a Department of Elections Operations that will be tasked with boosting GOP turnout during early voting, and finding a new fundraising model ahead of 2024, when the RNC cannot rely on Trump’s name during the primary process. She also promised to give up her law firm and non-profit and move to the Washington, D.C. area with her husband if elected.

The moment of truth will be this Friday, when Dhillon is banking on Republican dissatisfaction over the last several election cycles to spur the clubby group of RNC members to rethink who should be in charge of the party apparatus. But even then, McDaniel could still win—unless Dhillon convinces enough of them that she is the right change agent at the right time.

“The time for feeling comfortable about where we are right now is over,” Dhillon says. “We should not be comfortable with where we are right now. It is not a comfortable place to be.”

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Germany approves long-awaited delivery of Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine as US finalizes plans to send Abrams – CNN International

Germany approves long-awaited delivery of Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine as US finalizes plans to send Abrams  CNN International

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Jonathan Pollard to INN: I discovered a polarized Israel upon my release from prison

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Jonathan Pollard initiated a campaign for an educational project commemorating his late wife, Esther, called Esther”s Children Center. At the event, he told Israel National News that it is “a bit overwhelming meeting, for the first time, a lot of the activists who fought for so many years for my release. In a sense, it”s a homecoming, a big family event for me.”

Pollard was happy to have the opportunity to personally thank people who campaigned for his release. “Esther would always tell me about all the activities on my behalf, but I never knew very many people and now I”m meeting a lot of them,” he says. Their support was critical for his well-being in prison.

“Next to my wife”s love, it was the support of the Israeli people that kept me strong and hopeful of getting home. It was the people who brought me home the government certainly didn”t.”

“To people who would apologize for not doing enough, Esther would ask them if they say tfilot [prayers] “did you pray for my husband?” And when they”d say yes, she would tell them that Hashem had a cup of prayers for me and when that cup will be filled, I would come home.”

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In recalling his decades in prison in the United States, Pollard said that the hardest thing was not being able to start a family with Esther.

“This was very painful for us because, given Esther”s cancer, we had a very small window of opportunity to have children. Esther refused to have chemotherapy in the hope that we would be home together soon enough to have a child. Unfortunately, that wasn”t the case.”

“We went all the way up to the Supreme Court in America, asking for reproductive rights. In the entire federal prison system, prisoners do not have reproductive rights. There are a few states that allow conjugal visits but they wouldn”t let me go there for the purpose of having a baby.”

“It was very tough. Finally, it was clear we would never have children because her cancer had advanced so far.”

Pollard discussed his late wife”s philosophy that a Jewish identity needs to be instilled in children from a young age. After she died, therefore, he felt the best way to commemorate her life would be to establish a school.

“Esther felt that, unless we understand who and what we are, what our mission is in this country, it wouldn”t matter what our military capabilities are. We wouldn”t win,” Pollard explained.

“We don”t know what children will do when they grow up. Some will be more observant some will be less observant. The thing is that they must have the ability to make an informed decision and that”s based on education. We are trying to give them that education.”

This mission is related to what he found in Israel when he was finally released and made aliyah [immigrated to Israel] and it is what keeps him active in speaking with the public. “It”s my obligation,” he stated.

“I was shocked. I didn”t realize the country had been so polarized in my absence. I basically sacrificed 35 years of my life for a state that didn”t really exist. It existed in my mind. When I came home, I realized that what I thought was Israel didn”t exist. And now I am trying, very carefully and quietly, to galvanize people into fighting for what Israel should be.”

He had had many offers to go into politics but Esther was a gatekeeper, keeping politicians away from him. Before she died she helped him understand that politics was not an arena into which he should venture. Pollard explained, “Esther said that politics is the art of compromise. What are you willing to compromise on? Maarat Hamachpelah, Tekoa, Hebron, Har Habayit, Shabbat, kashrut? And she was holding me tightly when she asked me this.”

“I looked at her and I said, “Nothing. I”m not willing to compromise on anything.” And she said that that is why I have to stay independent. “Do not join a party,” she recommended. “Do not follow anybody who is going to lead you over a cliff and that you have to follow out of some misguided sense of loyalty. You have to stay true to Torah, you have to stay true to Am Yisrael. Eretz Yisrael al pi Torat Yisrael [The Land of Israel according to the Torah]. That”s what you live and die for. The only way to do that is to remain independent.””

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Following the successful establishment of the education project, Pollard intends to become more active in issues concerning the Land of Israel.

“I don”t like the way things are going right now. I voted for a certain government and I don”t see it. Even now. Our right-wing policies are compromised.”

“I know Bibi. He”s a good man. He means very well. He loves this country. But he”s under enormous pressure from all sides to compromise. It will be my mission to strengthen him to the point at which when Itamar Ben Gvir and Betzalel Smotrich want to act on their policies in Judea and Samaria and other places, that Bibi will have the strength and the protection, if you will, to endorse what they”re doing. Right now, that”s not the case.”

The advantage of not being a politician, according to Pollard, is that people trust him.

“When I speak to people, they understand that I am speaking from my heart. I have no ulterior motive except to secure the safety and well-being of this country. I”m not asking for their vote. I”m asking for them to think and then act because the only way this government will be able to act on their convictions is if the prime minister understands that everybody who voted right wing is going to back him up by supporting right-wing policies.”

Pollard was asked if he has any regrets, given how the State of Israel treated him,

“I didn”t serve the state,” he responded. “I served the Land and People of Israel. And they never abandoned me. They never betrayed me. They never undermined me. They never sabotaged me. I came home to the people who believed in me and who brought me home. So, regret? No. I don”t have any regrets. I just maybe wish I was more effective. That”s all.”

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