
In the early morning hours of Nov. 4, 2020, as the returns from the previous dayās election presaged that future President Joe Biden had unseated then-President Donald Trump, a member of the Oath Keepers, the far-right paramilitary group, tapped a question into one of the groupās many chat channels over the end-to-end encrypted messaging app, Signal.
āWell whatās the gameplan?ā
With trademark verbosity and braggadocio, Oath Keeper founder and leader Elmer Stewart Rhodes III responded:
⦠Donāt give legitimacy to an illegitimate, fraudulent ⦠system. . . . I wonāt ever recognize [Biden] as a legitimate President because of that fraud ⦠and ⦠his being a ChiCom [i.e., Chinese Communist] puppet . . .
⦠The left, including the Democratic Party, has taken off the mask and revealed their totalitarian, Marxist, America-hating, and hate-filled agenda. They seek our destruction. They seek the destruction of all we swore to defend. We must defeat them. Even if one of them occupies the White House. ā¦
ā¦Ā As General Washington told the troops before the battle of Long Island, ā⦠Our cruel and unrelenting enemy leaves us only the choice of brave resistance, or the most abject submission. We have therefore to resolve to conquer or die.”
One day later, Rhodes broached the c-word.
āWe arenāt getting through this without a civil war,ā he said. āPrepare your mind, body, and soul.ā
On Nov. 7, 2021, the day the media projected that Biden had won, Rhodes circulated to two different Signal chats a link to the advice of a Serbian friend who explained how revolutionaries in his country had successfully thrown off a dictatorās yoke.
āWe must now do what the people of Serbia did when Milosevic stole their election,ā Rhodes wrote. āRefuse to accept it and march en-mass [sic] on the nationās Capitol.ā He then continued, quoting his Serbian friendās template, including this excerpt:
āĀ Ā Ā Millions gathered in our capital. There were no barricades strong enough to stop them ā¦
āĀ Ā Ā Police and Military aligned with the people after a few hours of fist-fight.
āĀ Ā Ā We stormed the Parliament.
If seditious rhetoric alone were sufficient to prove seditious conspiracy, the prosecution against Rhodes and four compadres now playing out in U.S. District Court in Washington, D.C. would be a slam dunk. For at least two months, all these defendants engaged in or endorsed over-the-top, written and oral threats or promises to āoppose by force the authorityā of the United States or to use āforce to prevent, hinder and delay the execution of [the] law[s] of the United Statesā governingĀ the transfer of presidential powerāthe two clauses of the seditious conspiracy statute under which they have been indicted. Then, during the Jan. 6 insurrection, three of these defendantsāalong with about 17 other Oath Keepers indicted in related casesāascended the east Capitol steps in āstack formationā (each with his or her hand on the shoulder of the cadre ahead) in two successive waves and penetrated the building where Congress, in joint session, was due to certify Bidenās election. The spectacle of these seemingly disciplined troops, kitted out in full battle rattleācamo uniforms, helmets, tactical vests, tactical goggles, tactical gloves, and, in some cases, anti-ballistic plates, bear spray, and paracordābecame perhaps the most indelible emblem of the insurrection: a coordinated, militaristic assault on our democracy.Ā Ā
So whatās the defense?
In two words: No plan.Ā
Despite having sifted through thousands of Signal, Facebook, and text messages extracted from dozens of seized phones; having been provided by an informant with a recording of one of their secret GoToMeetings (a videoconferencing app); having debriefed scores of witnesses, including seven Oath Keepers who pleaded guiltyāand, amongst those, three who specifically pleaded guilty to seditious conspiracyāthe government never produced evidence of any Oath Keeper plan to breach the Capitol on Jan. 6 or, for that matter, any concrete plan of any kind laying out precisely how they would block Biden from taking power.
In fact, two of the governmentās own key witnessesāOath Keepers who had pleaded guilty to conspiracyāeach acknowledged that they knew of no plan to storm the Capitol on Jan. 6 and that theyād received no orders from either Rhodes or any of his lieutenants to do so. On cross-examination, one of them, Graydon Young, even described his decision to enter the building that day as āspontaneous.ā
Because there was no concrete plan, defendants have been able to argueānot without force, in my viewāthat Rhodesās and the othersā earlier rhetoric was no more than that: rhetoric. It was hyperbole; bombast; bravado; locker-room talk; or venting. You know, kvetching. One defense witness claimed it was as harmless as the smack talk you might hear from old codgers sounding off in a barber shopāthough these particular codgers had an arsenal of AR-15s across the river from the barber shop in question.
The government did not deny the absence of a plan. It argued, instead: So what?
āWhat a colossal waste of time,ā Assistant U.S. Attorney Jeffrey Nestler remarked in his rebuttal summation of the defense lawyersā incantation of those words: āno plan, no plan.ā Nestler invited jurors to pore over U.S. District Judge Amit Mehtaās jury instructions to satisfy themselves that, indeed, the government did not need to prove any plan. To demonstrate conspiracy, it must prove only an āagreement,ā āmutual understanding,ā or āmeeting of the mindsāāāexplicit or implicitāābetween two or more people to accomplish an unlawful goal.
In its written filing opposing the defendantsā motions for a directed verdict of acquittal, the government argued that it had amply met that burden:
As legal challenges to the election sputtered ⦠Rhodes and his co-defendants explicitly discussed the need to use any means necessary, up to and including force, to oppose the transfer of power, and they began to focus on January 6 as a day of action for their objective. Then, on January 6, the defendants seized the opportunity to advance their goal by participating in the attack on the Capitol. [Emphasis added.]
So while it was other rioters who first breached the Capitol, the Oath Keepersā belated decision to join in was the culmination of the preexisting conspiracy. The government quoted the testimony of Graydon Young, one of the testifying Oath Keepers whoād pleaded guilty, as an example of how the defendants came to effectuate opportunistically the mutually agreed upon overarching goal of the conspiracy.
We talked about doing something about the fraud in the election before we went there on the 6th. And then when the crowd got over the barricade and they went into the building, an opportunity presented itself to do something. We didnāt tell each other [to go in. ā¦. It was] common sense.
Jason Dolan, the other testifying Oath Keeper whoād pleaded guilty, testified to the same thing.Ā Ā
We were up in D.C. We were there. We were on location. So when the Capitol Buildingāwhen the doors opened, we getāwent in. ⦠And ⦠it was that same idea of the ⦠[Signal chat] texts over and over: We will do something. We will do something. We will do something. And now here we are in front of the Capitol doors, and they opened. And it was: Letās do something.
Ā
Still, that proof is a little dissatisfying. Spontaneity sounds like the opposite of conspiracy. Without a concrete plan or an express order to go in, how is the jury to know beyond a reasonable doubt that what was in the minds of the two cooperating witnesses was the same thing as what was in the minds of the charged defendants? Hundreds of people who spontaneously went into the Capitol that day have been charged with misdemeanorsānot seditious conspiracy, a charge that asymptotically approaches treason.
Now, in fairness, my summary so far has been a little unfair to the prosecution. There was some evidence that Rhodes may have given an orderāveiled or even explicitāfor his troops to storm the Capitol. At 1:25 p.m. on Jan. 6, about a half hour after the bike-rack barriers around the perimeter of the Capitol Grounds had been overrun, Rhodes sent a message to a key Signal chat channel: āPence is doing nothing. As I predicted.ā Then, at 1:38 p.m., Rhodes added, āAll I see Trump doing is complaining. I see no intent by him to do anything. So the patriots are taking it into their own hands. Theyāve had enough.āĀ
Three minutes later, Rhodes sent another series of messages to a Signal leadership chat channel:
Hey, the founding generation stormed the governors mansion in MA and tarred and feathered his tax collectors. ⦠They didnāt fire on them, but they street fought. Thatās where we are now.
Next comes our āLexingtonā. Itās coming.
The latter allusion would not have been obscure to Oath Keepersāmembers of an organization that Rhodes officially founded in Lexington, Massachusetts, on April 19, 2009, the anniversary of the Shot Heard Round the World in 1775āthe start of the American Revolution. Were these messages signals for his troops to attack?Ā
On top of these, thereās circumstantial evidence of a more direct order to storm the Capitol. At 2:31 p.m.ā18 minutes after rioters breached the west front of the Capitol buildingāthe Oath Keepersā operations leader that day, Michael Greene, called Rhodes. Thirty-nine seconds later, defendant Kelly Meggs, who was then leading about 14 Oath Keepers toward the Capitol, also called Rhodes. Nine seconds after that, Rhodes merged the two calls. The three menādefendant Rhodes, defendant Meggs, and Greene (indicted separately)āstayed on the three-way call for 90 seconds. At just before 2:34 p.m., Meggs hung up. Then, within two minutes, Meggs led Stack I up the East Capitol steps and, by about 2:40 p.m., into the Capitol.
What was said during that momentous three-way call? When Rhodes testified, he claimed Meggs had had a bad connection and he couldnāt hear him. Really? Rhodes couldnāt hear Meggsāyet merged his call with Greeneās and then stayed on the line with him for the next 90 seconds? (Meggs did not testify. Greene testified on behalf of Rhodes, and said he had no recollection of any three-way call. He also said he never heard any order from Rhodes to storm the Capitol.)
To be sure, there are more charges in this case than just seditious conspiracy. So even if the jury tosses that charge, others might stick. Still, when the government hauls out a big, rarely used gun like this oneāthe statute famously used to convict Sheikh Omar Abdel Rahman, who conspired to bomb the World Trade Center in 1993āany misfire will be a humiliation. (See, for instance, the catastrophic Last Time the Justice Department Prosecuted a Seditious Conspiracy Case.)
The five defendants here are charged in a 10-count indictment. (The grand jury actually charged them in a 13-count indictment that included four additional defendants, but because of logistical issuesāincluding no courtroom big enough in the District of Columbiaās federal courthouseāthese five were split off to stand trial first.)Ā
The quality of the evidence against each defendant varied markedly. For that reason, a split-verdictāboth in terms of which defendants, if any, will be convicted and which charges each might be convicted ofāseems likely.
All five are charged with three different conspiracies: seditious conspiracy (18 U.S.C. §2384); conspiracy to obstruct an official proceeding (18 U.S.C. §1512(k)); and conspiracy to prevent members of Congress from discharging their duties (18 U.S.C. §372). All five are also charged with the substantive count of obstructing (or aiding and abetting the obstruction of) an official proceeding (18 U.S.C. §1512(c)(2)).
Three defendantsāKelly Meggs, Jessica Watkins, and Ken Harrelsonāare also then charged with destroying (or aiding and abetting the destruction of) federal property (18 U.S.C. §1361). This may be the weakest count. On the one hand, the government showed that the Columbus and the East Rotunda doorsāthe outer and inner sets of doors between the East Capitol steps and the Rotundaātogether suffered close to $35,000 in damages caused by rioters who forced their way through them that day. But the government failed to prove that any Oath Keeper even touched those doors, which had unquestionably suffered considerable damage before the defendants ever got there.
Defendant Watkinsāaloneāis then charged in count six with impeding federal law enforcement officers during a civil disorder (18 U.S.C. §231(a)(3)). This accusation stems from her participation in a mob that attempted to push through a battalion of riot police in the Capitol hallway leading to the Senate chamber. āPush, push, push,ā she can be heard saying in a video introduced by the government. āGet in there. Get in there. They canāt hold us.ā
When Watkins took the stand at trial, she admitted this offense and apologized for itāa sensible strategy, given the rock-crushing proof against her. (The government also presented two videos of what her mobās assault looked like from the riot policeās perspective.) But Watkins denied all other charges.
Finally, four of the defendantsāall but Watkinsāare accused of obstruction of justice by deleting documents from their phones.
The strength and quality of the proof against each defendant varies greatly. In many respects, the proof against Rhodes is the strongest. His seditious rhetoric was the most voluminous and outrageous, and continued even well after the insurrection. On cross-examination, he even appeared to admit that he planned to take up arms against the United States, only quibbling that he anticipated doing so after the inauguration, not before. Rhodes also personally purchased about $20,000 in firearms-related equipment between Jan. 1 and Jan. 5, 2021, and then another $17,000 between Jan. 6 and Jan. 19āthe day before the inauguration.
On the other hand, Rhodes never entered the Capitol. So if the jury does not find that the government proved a conspiracy, it would likely have to acquit him of everything except tampering with evidence.
The case against defendant Ken Harrelson is the weakest. His name was uttered the least frequently of any defendant during the seven-week trial. Though he entered the Capitol and was alleged to be the āground team leaderā of the Florida Oath Keepers, he appears to have seldom, if ever, participated in the Signal chats, and did not use Facebook, Twitter, or Parlerārich sources of incriminating proof against other defendants.
Finally, defendant Thomas Caldwell is sui generis. On the one hand, his Facebook Messenger communications were highly incriminating. He discussed staging āprestrike reccesā (i.e., reconnaissance missions) and plotted out preposterous plans for ferrying āheavy weaponsā across the Potomac from Virginia if needed on January 6. And at 7:38 p.m. on the evening after the insurrection, he gleefully recounted for friends what he and his wife, Sharon, had purportedly done that day:
⦠Sharon and I rolled with the Oathkeepers and some other militia. ⦠Cops out of nowhere started throwing flash bangs and teargassed a kidās group. ⦠Then we heard that Pence fucked us. ⦠Then the lying media said Trump supporters were breaking through barriers so I said if weāre going to get blamed, might as well do it so I grabbed up my American flag and said letās take the damn capitol so people started surging forward and climbing the scaffolding outside so I said lets storm the place and hang the traitors. ⦠[Then] we got on the parapets and the people in front of me broke [through] the doors and and started duking it out with the pigs who broke and ran. Then we started stealing the cops riot shields [and] throwing fire extinguishers through windows. it was a great time.
But it developed that Caldwellāa 65-year-old Navy veteran with a full, service-related disabilityāwas a world-class story-teller. Though Caldwell, with the help of a double dose of his opioid painkillers, did make it all the way to the top of the inaugural scaffolding that dayāon the west side of the Capitol, the opposite side from where the Oath Keepers enteredāthe government concedes that he never entered the building. Itās unclear if he even witnessed any of the violence he so vividly described to his friends. He and his wife testified that they didnātāthat theyād just heard rumors from others in the crowdāand none of the photos or videos they or others took that day prove otherwise.
Also, since Caldwell was never a dues-paying Oath Keeper, he wasnāt invited into any of the incriminating Signal chats. So the evidence of his participation in the conspiracyāassuming there was oneāis weaker than the proof against Rhodes, Meggs, or Watkins.
For all these reasons, the jurors have their work cut out for them. They are looking at five very differently-situated defendants, ten counts, and a multiplicity of vexing fact situations with respect to each.
The key question remains whether the government has proven conspiracy. Does unquestionably seditious kvetching plus āopportunisticā and āspontaneousā trespassing amount to seditious conspiracy?Ā
I donāt envy the jurors their task in deciding.
