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Grammy predictions: AP writers debate who’ll win on Sunday

The Beyhive is all abuzz over the possibility that BeyoncĆ© will have a chance to make Grammy history this year, which should make for an exciting awards show as she’s up against heavy hitters Adele, Kendrick Lamar and Harry Styles.

She’ll need just four more trophies to ascend to the top decorated artist in the Recording Academy. Odds are in her favor in most of the categories she’s nominated in, including album of the year and record of the year.

Associated Press Entertainment Writers Jonathan Landrum Jr. and Kristin M. Hall break down the extremely close races for Grammy glory. The 65th annual Grammy Awards will air on Sunday on CBS and Paramount+.

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ALBUM OF THE YEAR: ā€œVoyage,ā€ ABBA; ā€œ30,ā€ Adele; ā€œUn Verano Sin Ti,ā€ Bad Bunny; ā€œRenaissance,ā€ BeyoncĆ©; ā€œGood Morning Gorgeousā€ (Deluxe), Mary J. Blige; ā€œIn These Silent Days,ā€ Brandi Carlile; ā€œMusic of the Spheres,ā€ Coldplay; ā€œMr. Morale & the Big Steppers,ā€ Kendrick Lamar; ā€œSpecial,ā€ Lizzo; ā€œHarry’s House,ā€ Harry Styles.

LANDRUM: BeyoncĆ© is going after her Grammy throne, again. With the superstar singer being on the cusp of becoming the most decorated artist in Grammy history, it’s no coincidence Queen Bey returned to the live show stage for the first time in four years with a spectacular, star-studded performance at Dubai’s newest luxury hotel last month. She even held a two-night ā€œClub Renaissanceā€ event in Los Angeles last month with Amazon Music to celebrate her seventh album ā€œRenaissance,ā€ an album of the year candidate. Beyoncé’s lead up game is strong, and both of her remarkable displays feel like a grand tour toward her multiple Grammy crowning. No disrespect to the other more-than-worthy nominees in the category, but BeyoncĆ© is an easy choice here. It just makes sense.

HALL: The last time Adele and BeyoncĆ© were both nominated in this category, the British singer-songwriter used her acceptance speech to heap praise on BeyoncĆ©, calling her the ā€œartist of my life.ā€ It’s one of the toughest years in this category with so many deserving albums from the biggest names. It would be amazing to see Bad Bunny take home the award for his incredibly popular ā€œUn Verano Sin Ti,ā€ but I agree, Jonathan, all signs are pointing to a record-breaking year for BeyoncĆ©.

RECORD OF THE YEAR: ā€œDon’t Shut Me Down,ā€ ABBA; ā€œEasy on Me,ā€ Adele; ā€œBreak My Soul,ā€ BeyoncĆ©; ā€œGood Morning Gorgeous,ā€ Mary J. Blige; ā€œYou and Me on the Rock,ā€ Brandi Carlile featuring Lucius; ā€œWoman,ā€ Doja Cat; ā€œBad Habit,ā€ Steve Lacy; ā€œThe Heart Part 5,ā€ Kendrick Lamar; ā€œAbout Damn Time,ā€ Lizzo; ā€œAs It Was,ā€ Harry Styles.

HALL: So many danceable bops this year to choose from! Lizzo is a powerhouse at delivering good-time positive bangers with catchy lyrics and Harry Styles’ pop rock jam ā€œAs It Wasā€ is an undeniable hit and fan favorite. While Adele absolutely kills her performance of ā€œEasy on Me,ā€ I don’t think it has the dominance of her other record of the year hit ā€œHello.ā€ For me, the best two in the category are ā€œBreak My Soulā€ and ā€œBad Habit.ā€ The ’90s house music-inspired ā€œBreak My Soulā€ captures an entire mood and an exciting pivot for BeyoncĆ©, so she’ll likely add this award to her wall of Grammys.

LANDRUM: I totally rode the BeyoncĆ© album-of-the-year bandwagon, but I’m riding with Harry Styles’ ā€œAs It Wasā€ in this category. Kudos to the other nominees from Kendrick Lamar, Steve Lacy and Adele — who are also deserving of this award. But ā€œAs It Wasā€ was just too massive in a category where the biggest commercial hits usually reign supreme. For me, it seems like I’ve heard his infectious jam whenever I go out. Even my 2-year-old daughter perks up when she hears the song, sings along and requests to listen to it again, again, and again.

SONG OF THE YEAR (songwriter’s award): ā€œabcdefu,ā€ Sara Davis, GAYLE and Dave Pittenger; ā€œAbout Damn Time,ā€ Melissa ā€œLizzoā€ Jefferson, Eric Frederic, Blake Slatkin and Theron Makiel Thomas; ā€œAll Too Well (10 Minute Version – The Short Film),ā€ Liz Rose and Taylor Swift; ā€œAs It Was,ā€ Tyler Johnson, Kid Harpoon and Harry Styles; ā€œBad Habit,ā€ Matthew Castellanos, Brittany FousheĆ©, Diana Gordon, John Carroll Kirby and Steve Lacy; ā€œBreak My Soul,ā€ BeyoncĆ©, S. Carter, Terius ā€œThe Dreamā€ Gesteelde-Diamant and Christopher A. Stewart; ā€œEasy on Me,ā€ Adele Adkins and Greg Kurstin; ā€œGod Did,ā€ Tarik Azzouz, E. Blackmon, Khaled Khaled, F. LeBlanc, Shawn Carter, John Stephens, Dwayne Carter, William Roberts and Nicholas Warwar; ā€œThe Heart Part 5,ā€ Jake Kosich, Johnny Kosich, Kendrick Lamar and Matt Schaeffer; ā€œJust Like That,ā€ Bonnie Raitt.

LANDRUM: I might’ve chosen Harry Styles to pull away victorious with record of the year, but Beyoncé’s powerful words in ā€œBreak My Soulā€ spoke to my spirit — especially in a category for songwriters who wrote the lyrics or melodies to one song. Her tune became a dance floor anthem after the pandemic thanks to the attractive upbeat melody and the well-written lyrics by the formidable writing team comprised of BeyoncĆ©, her husband Jay-Z, The-Dream and Tricky Stewart — who’s behind penning big singles including Rihanna’s ā€œUmbrellaā€ and Mary J. Blige’s ā€œJust Fine.ā€ In this collaboration, the writing foursome created a collection of inspiring words suited for BeyoncĆ© who took the proverbial baton and sang with beautiful authority. In the end, ā€œBreak My Soulā€ should cross the finish line first as song of the year.

HALL: If you’ve only heard the TikTok snippet from Steve Lacy’s dreamy confessional song, do yourself a favor and listen to the whole thing, and then his whole album, too. The song, like Lacy, is experimental and complicated and the song twists and distorts into something brand new while his voice is charmingly disarming. I think he’s a dark horse in this category, though, going up against so many crazy talented songwriters.

BEST NEW ARTIST: Anitta; Omar Apollo; DOMi & JD Beck; Muni Long; Samara Joy; Latto; MƄnekskin; Tobe Nwigwe; Molly Tuttle; Wet Leg.

HALL: Normally I feel like there are one or two heavy hitters in this category that are riding the wave of a big debut hit, but this category is wide open this year. Bluegrass musician Molly Tuttle and R&B singer-songwriter Muni Long are well-established in their respective music fields and it would be great for them to get the widespread attention they deserve with a win in this category. But I think Anitta has a big advantage with her multi-platinum global hit ā€œEnvolver,ā€ even if she may not be as familiar to American audiences.

LANDRUM: Anitta certainly feels like the leading choice in this loaded category. The Brazilian artist has been nothing short of phenomenal with her trilingual album ā€œVersions of Me,ā€ which was led by her single ā€œEnvolver.ā€ MĆ„nekskin, Muni Long and Latto can make their claim here too. But I’m going with a category dark horse: Tobe Nwigwe. He broke through with ā€œI Need You To,ā€ a 44-seconds long song that called attention to the police killing of Breonna Taylor in Kentucky. It was reposted by big names like LeBron James, Madonna and Diddy. Along with that, the Nigerian singer-rapper has posted an original song and video every week across social media for the past several years. He performs alongside his wife, Fat Nwigwe, and their ballad ā€œFye Fyeā€ is a legit smooth hit.

BEST POP SOLO PERFORMANCE: ā€œEasy on Me,ā€ Adele; ā€œMoscow Mule,ā€ Bad Bunny; ā€œWoman,ā€ Doja Cat; ā€œBad Habit,ā€ Steve Lacy; ā€œAbout Damn Time,ā€ Lizzo; ā€œAs It Was,ā€ Harry Styles.

LANDRUM: This is a tough one. Each song is a certified hit. My gut tells me Adele or Steve Lacy could prevail in a category filled with strong contenders. But my mind, heart and soul is screaming ā€œHARRY STYLES.ā€ I’m going with my latter feelings. ā€œAs it Wasā€ for me, please.

HALL: Adele is likely to pick up a win here, if voters are more inclined to choose BeyoncƩ in the top categories.

BEST RAP PERFORMANCE: ā€œGOD DID,ā€ DJ Khaled featuring Rick Ross, Lil Wayne, Jay-Z, John Legend & Fridayy; ā€œVegas,ā€ Doja Cat; ā€œpushing P,ā€ Gunna & Future featuring Young Thug; ā€œF.N.F. (Let’s Go),ā€ Hitkidd & GloRilla; ā€œThe Heart Part 5,ā€ Kendrick Lamar

HALL: I gotta give all the love to Memphis-native GloRilla for her first Grammy nomination for her breakout hit ā€œF.N.F. (Let’s Go).ā€ Her toughness and bravado show up well on the track that celebrates being free of no-count scrubs and proves she can go as hard as any male rapper.

LANDRUM: Kendrick Lamar’s ā€œThe Heart Part 5ā€ will win, but DJ Khaled’s ā€œGOD DIDā€ should be victorious. Why? Because with Khaled bringing together Jay-Z, Lil Wayne, Mr. EGOT John Legend and Rick Ross on one track, God certainly did that!

BEST R&B PERFORMANCE: ā€œVIRGO’S GROOVE,ā€ BeyoncĆ©; ā€œHere With Me,ā€ Mary J. Blige featuring Anderson .Paak; ā€œHrs & Hrs,ā€ Muni Long; ā€œOver,ā€ Lucky Daye; ā€œHurt Me So Good,ā€ Jazmine Sullivan

LANDRUM: Jazmine Sullivan could pull a repeat with ā€œHurt Me So Goodā€ after she won in this same category last year for ā€œPick Up Your Feelings.ā€ The sheer appeal of Beyoncé’s ā€œVIRGO’S GROOVEā€ gives her a strong shot to win as well. There are other viable contenders including Mary J. Blige and Lucky Daye, who had big hits in their own right. But if I was a betting man, my money would be on Muni Long’s ā€œHrs & Hrs,ā€ a breakthrough hit for the best new artist contender. After maintaining strong momentum throughout a year, I believe Muni (pronounced as Money) will be ready to cash in as this category’s victor.

HALL: When Muni Long starts the song by whispering ā€œCan I sing to you?ā€ in that breathy voice of hers, it’s clear she is masterfully in control. I hope she gets this win.

BEST COUNTRY SOLO PERFORMANCE: ā€œHeartfirst,ā€ Kelsea Ballerini; ā€œSomething In The Orange,ā€ Zach Bryan; ā€œIn His Arms,ā€ Miranda Lambert; ā€œCircles Around This Town,ā€ Maren Morris; ā€œLive Forever,ā€ Willie Nelson

HALL: I think the Recording Academy voters are trying to send a message by nominating ā€œLive Foreverā€ from Willie Nelson, who is (remarkably) turning 90 this year and is showing no signs of slowing down. But I think new artist Zach Bryan has momentum this year and lots of buzz, so the slow-burning ā€œSomething In The Orangeā€ should win.

LANDRUM: I think Zach Bryan is Willie Nelson’s biggest threat here. But with Nelson still performing at a high level at 90, his song ā€œLive Foreverā€ is a fitting title for his musical legacy.

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For more on this year’s Grammy Awards, visit: www.apnews.com/GrammyAwards