For the past week, the large Chinese balloon floating over the United States has consumed the attention of the American media.
BeforeĀ the balloonĀ was shot down by the U.S. on Saturday, Chinaās government stated it was a ācivilian airship used for research, mainly meteorological.ā For its part, the Pentagon says it has āvery high confidenceā that the balloon was conducting surveillance.
Itās understandable that the U.S. government would be suspicious, given that America sent spy balloons exactly the same size over both the Soviet Union and China in 1956 ā and made exactly the same claims as China is making today about what we were up to.
The balloons the U.S. used were, oddly enough, manufactured by General Mills. The General Mills website describes its mission as āmaking food the world loves,ā and itās certainly best known today for its products like Cheerios, Chex, and Lucky Charms. But the company bragged in a 2011 blog post that itĀ hired āthe ādaddyā of the balloon industry,ā thanks to the Aeronautical Research Division it established in 1946. (Another division of General Mills made the Alvin submarine that explored the Titanic.)
The General Mills balloons were supplied to the U.S. Air Force for Project Genetrix, a secret program to garner electronic and photographic information on communist countries. The Defense Departmentās National Reconnaissance Office published a book in 2012 titled āHEXAGON (KH-9) Mapping Camera Program and Evolutionā that covers Genetrix.
A photograph of a General Mills āSkyhookā high altitude balloon launching in partnership with the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory in 1952 from New Brighton, Minn..
Photo: General Mills, U.S. Navy
The balloons were about 20 stories tall, or around 200 feet. CBS today reported that the Chinese balloon āis believed to have been up to 200 feet tallā in a story breathlessly headlined āSuspected Chinese Spy Balloon Shot Down Over Atlantic Was Taller Than the Statue of Liberty.ā Perhaps the Chinese chose this size balloon because of the demands of balloon physics, or perhaps they did it to taunt our freedom.
According to the NRO book,
The cover story to account for the existence of the large balloons stated that the project was part of a worldwide meteorological survey ⦠to secure vital high altitude scientific data in conjunction with the International Geophysical Year.
The International Geophysical Year was envisioned, as Dwight Eisenhower stated at the time, as a demonstration of the āability of peoples of all nations to work together harmoniously for the common good.āĀ At first, this seems distastefully cynical. But maybe it was an expression ofĀ Eisenhower believing thatĀ American spyingĀ was the common good and everyone was pulling together to do their part, the spies and the spied-upon.
āHEXAGONā records that the first of 512 balloons was launched on January 10, 1956. But the Soviet Union quickly noticed what was happening, and the program was suspended less than a month later on February 6 afterĀ the Politburoās protests.
Of the 512 balloons, only 54 were recovered. But the NRO book reports that these 54 balloons provided photographs of 1.1 million square miles of āthe Sino-Soviet area.ā This was quite a lot, almost one-tenth of the area of the Soviet Union and China combined.
The film was analyzed by photointerpreter team from the U.S. Army and Navy, the CIA, the Royal Air Force, the Strategic Air Command, and the Far East Air Force. āHEXAGONā optimistically states that āthere were many benefits derived from this product. New targets were located, and confirmation of intelligence on previously known targets was possible.ā
At a February 7, 1956, news conference, Eisenhowerās Secretary of State John Foster Dulles engaged in lengthy, hilarious prevarication about the spy balloons. First, there was straightforward lying. āThe information that is being sought,ā he said, āis not essentially or even at all military information.ā
What was the U.S. goal with all these balloons, then? Why, to help all humanity: āThey are gathering an extraordinary amount of new and useful information about these jet stream air currents. ⦠[it] is a part of a project which has worldwide significance.ā
Asked if āthe United States feels that they have the right to send these balloons at a certain height anywhere around the globe,ā Dulles answered, āYes, I think that we feel that way.ā He did then generously allow that the U.S. would ātryā to avoid the territory of other countriesĀ thatĀ didnāt like it. This generosity apparently didnātĀ extendĀ to American- (and British-) manned U-2 flights over the Soviet Union, which began several years later.
David Haight, an archivist at the Eisenhower Presidential Library, produced a 2009 article about this general issue titled āIke and His Spies in the Sky.ā In it, he writes, based on records of White House deliberations, āEisenhower authorized aerial intelligence Ācollecting programs in order to better assess the military capability of the Soviet Union, China, and other Communist Ābloc nations to launch a surprise attack on the United States.ā In other words, the U.S. saw its balloon and U-2 programs as being essentially defensive.
If indeed the Chinese balloon turns out to have been carrying out surveillance, itās plausible that they saw its incursion over the U.S. in the same way. Internal historical records show that countries almost always see their actions, even the most aggressive, as an understandable attempt to protect themselves against a dangerous foe. But what the U.S. did in 1956 didnāt feel like that to the Soviet Union and China, so China shouldnāt be surprised that it doesnāt feel like that to some in the U.S. today.
In any case, the lesson of the current balloon excitement is unclear. It may be that China is 70 years behind the U.S. in either weather or spying technology, or both. But there are some who believe we are on the brink of a Balloon Revolution ā and this is merely the first shot in what sounds like something fun but wouldnāt be: a Balloon War.
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